KellermanRichard

By early Sat morning we will be solidly post frontal with a moderate NW flow and surface dewpoints around 60F, making for a very comfortable weeknd and some decent soaring. Both days look OK with cu likely at about 5,550 – 6,000 ft.  BL winds max ~15 kts NW on Saturday, backing to SW, <10 … Read more

No PIREPS for Saturday but I was wrong about cu which did make an appearance by mid-afternoon.  Hoping not to make the converse error today in going for cu at about 7,000 ft msl.  It may not be easy to climb that high due to 20+ kt SW winds which could breakup thermals. Dewpoints in … Read more

About the only things I am confident about are that it will be hot and blue.  As for lift, SkySight seems pessimistic, the HRRR model seems optimistic.  I’ll hedge my bets and go with  climbs to about 5,000 ft msl. Wind SW, <10 kts. Yesterday was not as good as I hoped (and forecast!) Local … Read more

Likely to be the best day of the week with cloudbases as high as 7,000 ft and much needed drops in surface dewpoints to the mid-low sixties.  Wind SW about 15 kts.  A slight chance of isolated thunder. Saturday also looking very good. QV, 2022-07-22 1100Z

It’s going to be hot and humid today with heat indices possibly over 100F.  Wind speed will pick up to 15 – 20 kts SW, there is a chance of thunder and a chance of OD, and a Biden TFR goes live  at 2030Z (1630 EDT).  Other than that the day should be soarable to … Read more

It’s going to be hot and humid today with heat indices in the upper 90’s.  Thursday will be even hotter with heat indices above 100F. We should see 2 – 3 kt climbs, cu at about 5,000 ft and southwest winds <10 kts.  There is a chance of OD by mid-afternoon. I’ve often seen days … Read more

The front, such as it is, is just south of us and will bring better soaring weather and at least some (not much) relief from the heat and humidity. We should see cu at about 5,000 ft west winds 10 – 15 kts. Wednesday the frontal boundary is forecast to back up bringing back higher … Read more

We are pre-frontal and today continues to look marginal at best as, to the prior cautions on unpleasant conditions on the ground and low ceilings, we can add SW winds gusting to 20+ kts and an increasing chance of rain by mid-afternoon. We may have a window from late morning to mid-afternoon. Tuesday should be … Read more

You should have been here last week…Well now it’s this week and it starts off ugly with Monday’s surface dewpoints around 75F and temperatures around 85F so we are likely to have to deal with a 2,000 ft ceiling and enervating conditions on the ground. Tuesday should be a lot better with 5,000 ft msl … Read more

I’m doing (remote) wx for the Hobbs contest until July 2 so this forecast and its preparation are brief.  Saturday looks like the better of two soarable days with cu at ~5,500 ft msl and average climbs of 3 kt,  Some chance of OD around Blairstown. Sunday looks blue for the GCup South, North OK … Read more