KellermanRichard

Another ridge day, another T/O and landing challenge. Winds at the top of the BL still about 30 kts and KABE TAF has: FM191800 32014G27KT P6SM FEW250 which also implies blue conditions. I’m opting out in favor of Monday which although probably blue should give us a 5,000 ft BL and winds from the NW … Read more

Persistent strong north westerly winds will remain a problem with surface gusts again expected to be 25 kts.  Much better BL however and cu are likely at ~6,500 ft. Expect an update before 0800h Sunday.

This is about right fror PGC also. Synoptics We are now post-frontal with a secondary trough being dragged behind.  Conditions are however anomalous given the synoptic picture with rather small temperature/dew point spreads at the surface and a poorly developed boundary layer – the former will limit cloudbases to about 4,000 ft msl, the latter … Read more

Wind will play a much larger role than is normal for mid-June.  Models in good agreement that wind at the top  of the BL will be at least 25 kts.from the NW.  Surface winds less of course but the resulting shear is going to be a factor too.  Surface gusts to ~25 kts are to … Read more

Pretty much a guaranteed good day with light Westerly winds and lift to 6 – 7 kft.  Very dry airmass so we may see some blue areas.  Any cu that form will do so at about 7,000 ft msl. I plan to launch from N57 where we have an operation set to go and I … Read more

Even drier air and a BL not forecast to develop much over 6,000 ft should combine to produce a blue day.  The optimist might point to yesterday and hope for cu, realistically expect blue and be happy if I am wrong.   QV Jun 5 1200Z

Nice weekend coming up, in the air and on the ground.  Dry air on the  surface makes for comfort but not for cu.  Any cu on Saturday would be at about 7,000 ft but don’t count on much more  than climbs to ~6,000 ft msl in the blue.  Chances for cu are however better on … Read more

Cu at 7,500 ft – we should be flying.

Looks like a washout.  The synoptic picture is unusual in that the low pressure area is south of us and the high north.  This is just the opposite of the classic ridge day set up with strong NE winds rather than NW. There is just a chance that Sunday will produce some soarable weather but … Read more

The slow moving coastal low pressure area which has produced sustained strong NW winds for three days will move to the NE but not without producing one more day with a NW flow and very dry air.   For Saturday expect surface and BL winds to be <15 kts with possible 20 kt gusts.   Should see … Read more