KellermanRichard

Synoptics A cold front will cross PA during the day on Saturday, bringing (slowly) some relief from the high humidity we have been seeing.  It will also bring the chance of rain and thunderstorms by mid-afternoon.  Sunday should be a great day to be out with dewpoints in the mid- to low 50”s (they have … Read more

Synoptics High pressure starts moving offshore and a warm front is advancing from the West.  Two features of today’s otherwise good forecast could cause trouble:  Increasing hi cloud cover and some spreadout to stratocu..     Instability Most models show a 6 – 7 kft BL thru late afternoon but any significant Ci is going to … Read more

The high cloud cover yesterday probably spoiled what might have been a record day.  Conditions at PGC were barely sustainable until about 1:00 PM. I launched at about 1:30 PM with a lot of high cloud cover and ugly looking black Cu.  I set out for Blairstown at about 2:00 PM under a much improved … Read more

Looks like a very nice day with the NWS rather uncharacteristically gushing about “possibly the nicest day of the summer”.  Bear in mind however that the scope for trouble is far greater in soaring forecasts than beach forecasts.  See below under cautions. Synoptics Solidly post-frontal with high pressure building through Friday. Instability BL is forecast to … Read more

Following another day of smoke we will see a decent frontal passage later today which should deliver three days of good soaring.  The NWS went so far as to comment that “Thursday could be the nicest day of the summer so far”.  With the caveat that there is still a decreased chance of some smoke … Read more

“rising thermal profiles, will equate to high temperatures 3 to 5 degrees warmer compared to yesterday (or lower 90s for most areas). We will also have another day of smoke with restrictions in visibility.” So, as the old saw has it – if you liked yesterday you’ll love today. With better weather due Thursday I’m … Read more

Synoptics We are now post-frontal with the chance of some associated troughs passing thru the Lehigh Valley area this PM.   Instability We should see a very good BL of about 7,000 ft and can expect 3 – 5 kt lift.   Clouds Cu at about 5,000 ft msl by noon, rising to ~6,500 ft.  … Read more

With an expected frontal passage late Sunday and a second late Wednesday we look set for a decent week of soaring (nice timing for the encampment).  M. T, W, T should all be soarable with Monday and Thursday looking like the best days.  Friday not promising. I’ll be putting out updates so keep an eye … Read more

There is a lot of cloud around which does not seem to be going anywhere.  Per yesterday’s forecast the day looks set to develop late and it could be 3:00 PM before we get to 4,000 ft.  There is also a threat of OD moving from West to East. Still the best day we are … Read more

A weak cold front which should clear the local area by 0600Z Saturday will stall and backup by 18Z Saturday, dragging a trough tied to the lingering low across the state. A developing low pressure area currently centered ovr Kansas will intensify and move rapidly East bringing moisture and a much increased chance for rain … Read more