KellermanRichard

Both days have very good forecast BL’s of about 6,500 ft msl.  Both are also very dry so there is a good chance of blue conditions, rather more likely Wednesday  than Thursday. Wind NW both days, 10-15 kts Wednesday, 5 – 10 kts Thursday.  Can’t be more specific about Cu but if climbs in the … Read more

Hard to see much if any lift developing on either day with Sunday carrying the additional burden of increased precip probability.  Saturday training operations should be OK under a 4,000 ft msl ceiling.  About the same for Sunday provided it’s not raining.  Grass fields are likely to be wet although PGC webcams show no standing … Read more

Uvalde conditions on the ground again, and again not so sure about the air. Saturday’s forecast turned out quite well (PIREPS always welcome!) which gives me a bit more confidence in today’s which looks rather similar.  Climbs to about 6,000 ft by 2:00 PM with a few cu appearing as the days gets hotter.  KABE … Read more

Uvalde conditions on the ground – not so sure about the air.  For Saturday the wind forecast remains ~20 kt West, enough to break up thermals and impact achieved speed.  The HRRR fails to clarify things and in fact rather muddies the water in predicting significantly lower BL tops and more likely blue conditions than … Read more

Saturday has some troubling features for XC flight: BL winds WNW could be 25 kt and the combination of relatively dry air and a predicted BL top of about 5,000 ft msl could produce blue conditions.  Lift could be broken. Sunday won’t be troubled by wind which is expected to be less than ~10 kts … Read more

It’s going to be good!  Nice conditions on the ground with a 10 kt NW flow, climbs to over 5,000 ft and a good chance of Cu to ice the cake.  GCup completions should be possible. QV May 30 2145Z

Gusty NE winds, a persistent chance of rain, and near-zero lift won’t make for much if any XC flying.  Training flights should be OK so long as it stays dry. QV May 27 

Looking like another super day with lift to about 7,000 ft and a good chance of cu, also at about 7,000.  Surface winds are less than 5 kts, winds aloft less than 10 kts, for what it’s worth today (Tuesday should be about the same. QV May 18 1200Z

Saturday will again feature bases as high as 10,000 ft and again feature OD and showers, with the NWS mentioning the possibility of thunderstorms later in the day.  I don’t think tstms are very likely however – still a cautionary note.  OD/shower activity will generally increase during the afternoon and be more likely over the … Read more

Saturday should be yet another day with 9,000 ft bases but the tendency to OD and rain/snow showers will be on the increase, enough to threaten an early shutdown to soaring.  Best guess for timing of widespread storms and OD is 4 PM.  The weekly POTUS TFR goes active at 2130Z so don’t plan on … Read more