Soaring Forecast for Sunday/Monday 18/18 Jun
Synoptics
The low pressure system which gave us unsettled weather is moving away to the NE where it still has the potential to harass the R2N contest, leaving us under the influence of an extensive if weak area of high pressure and the associated weak anticyclonic flow.
Instability
Bothe Sunday and Monday should have mixed layers of about 6,000 ft, enough to make Cu likely on Sunday at about 6,500 ft msl, rather less likely on Monday when drier air and a ~500 ft decrease in mixed layer height could combine to make the day blue.
Clouds
Sunday: Cu at 6,500 ft msl. Monday probably blue with climbs to 5,000-6,000 ft msl
Winds
Sunday NW, <10 kt. Monday ~5 kt SE.
APOLOGIES
My forecast for last Sunday was pretty badly off – I made the forecast Friday PM and never got around to amending it. Forecasts age rapidly.
QV 2023-06-17 2100 V
POINT SOARING FORECAST FOR KABE VT SAT AUGUST 5 10 AM Synoptics We will be post frontal by early Saturday and our weekend weather will be controlled by a large high pressure system centered north of the Great Lakes.This is a setup for two very similar days. Also very pleasant days. Instability Don’t’ expect much … Read more
Synoptics The low pressure system which gave us unsettled weather is moving away to the NE where it still has the potential to harass the R2N contest, leaving us under the influence of an extensive if weak area of high pressure and the associated weak anticyclonic flow. Instability Bothe Sunday and Monday should have mixed … Read more
Synoptics The low pressure system which gave us unsettled weather is moving away to the NE where it still has the potential to harass the R2N contest, leaving us under the influence of an extensive if weak area of high pressure and the associated weak anticyclonic flow. Instability Bothe Sunday and Monday should have mixed … Read more
Saturday should see cu between 5 and 6 kft msl. Not much if any inversion so cu could be towering with a chance of SC spreadout. Soundings suggest an early and abrupt end for the day as mid- and high level cloud associated with a coastal trough develops. BL wind NW10 -20 kts with surface … Read more
Looks like a pretty simple forecast. Almost no wind, blue, both days, 5,500 ft msl Saturday, 4,000 ft. Sunday. QV 2023-05-26 2330Z
2023 May 20 Weekend Outlook. This forecast is for the area within about 50 miles from KABE. Synoptics Saturday will bring frontal passage and at least some rain. Low ceilings (or at least low clouds) are likely to preclude all gliding. Sunday will be post-frontal with a brisk northerly flow. Instability 6,000 ft msl BL … Read more
Synoptics We will be post frontal with a brisk NW flow and a very dry air mass. Instability We should see a good boundary layer topping out at 6,000+ ft by mid afternoon. Lift strength 2 – 3 kts. Clouds Cu unlikely but possible. Wind Once mixing starts NW BL winds of 20 kts will … Read more
Weekend Outlook Synoptics Following an ugly week with wx controlled by an omega block we should see at least one good soaring day (Saturday) as the low retreats NE and a high pressure ridge builds. Sunday looks likely to be undermined by the westward march of a sprawling frontal system. Should be flyable in parts … Read more
Radar already showing rain to the West driven by a low south of the Pa state line and an associated frontal system. Thursday continues to look very nice with a 5,000 – 5,500 ft msl cloudbase and NW wind <10 kts. The weekend looks unflyable with rain and strong S – SE winds. QV 2023 … Read more
Wednesday looks marginal with a good chance of rain and some chance of thunder. Thursday on the other hand looks excellent. QV 2023 04 25 1250Z