Uvalde conditions on the ground – not so sure about the air. For Saturday the wind forecast remains ~20 kt West, enough to break up thermals and impact achieved speed. The HRRR fails to clarify things and in fact rather muddies the water in predicting significantly lower BL tops and more likely blue conditions than … Read more
Saturday has some troubling features for XC flight: BL winds WNW could be 25 kt and the combination of relatively dry air and a predicted BL top of about 5,000 ft msl could produce blue conditions. Lift could be broken. Sunday won’t be troubled by wind which is expected to be less than ~10 kts … Read more
Here is one, which presents a good forecast for aviation: http://www.usairnet.com/cgi-bin/launch/code.cgi?Submit=Go&sta=KDYL&state=PA And you’ve probably heard about Skysight – a very compelling tool, if for no other reason than how the weather is presented. It does come at a cost: https://skysight.io/
It’s going to be good! Nice conditions on the ground with a 10 kt NW flow, climbs to over 5,000 ft and a good chance of Cu to ice the cake. GCup completions should be possible. QV May 30 2145Z
Gusty NE winds, a persistent chance of rain, and near-zero lift won’t make for much if any XC flying. Training flights should be OK so long as it stays dry. QV May 27
Looking like another super day with lift to about 7,000 ft and a good chance of cu, also at about 7,000. Surface winds are less than 5 kts, winds aloft less than 10 kts, for what it’s worth today (Tuesday should be about the same. QV May 18 1200Z
Saturday will again feature bases as high as 10,000 ft and again feature OD and showers, with the NWS mentioning the possibility of thunderstorms later in the day. I don’t think tstms are very likely however – still a cautionary note. OD/shower activity will generally increase during the afternoon and be more likely over the … Read more
Saturday should be yet another day with 9,000 ft bases but the tendency to OD and rain/snow showers will be on the increase, enough to threaten an early shutdown to soaring. Best guess for timing of widespread storms and OD is 4 PM. The weekly POTUS TFR goes active at 2130Z so don’t plan on … Read more
Hard to believe but Thursday, Friday, and Saturday all look about as good as today. Let’s wear out the towpilots and fill the post-COVID coffers – need ops for Friday! There is a chance of showers on both Friday and Saturday but not enough to spoil the fun. QV May 12 2130Z
The day continues to look strong with bases as high as 7,500 ft msl. Winds in the mixed layer are strong enough to be troublesome – 35 kts at cloudbase early afternoon deceasing ot 20 later. The NWS and the KABE TAF are not forecasting strong gusts but they are a possibility given the wind … Read more