Saturday Update

Synoptics

High pressure starts moving offshore and a warm front is advancing from the West.  Two features of today’s otherwise good forecast could cause trouble:  Increasing hi cloud cover and some spreadout to stratocu..  
 
Instability
Most models show a 6 – 7 kft BL thru late afternoon but any significant Ci is going to weaken lift.  Looks like 2 – 4 kts to mid-afternoon then some weakening.
 
Clouds
Cu cloudbase should be about 6,000 ft msl,  Expect increasing CI during the day, and SC possible later.
 
Wind
SSW, less than 10 kts
 
Cautions
Conditions could weaken significantly during the afternoon.  Presidential TFR active so if you plan to go to Morgantown stay North of the airport!.
 
QV Saturday July 24 1130Z