May 21 Weekend Outlook

2023 May 20 Weekend Outlook.  This forecast is for the area within about 50 miles from KABE.

Synoptics

Saturday will bring frontal passage and at least some rain.  Low ceilings (or at least low clouds) are likely to preclude all gliding.  Sunday will be post-frontal with a brisk northerly flow.

Instability

6,000 ft msl BL with 3 – 4 kt climbs.

Clouds

BL top is currently forecast to be high enough to allow cu to form at about 6,000 ft msl

Wind

Once mixing starts NNW BL winds of 20 kts will mix down to the surface.  The wind angle of 340 degrees will probably limit ridge action to the northern end of the ridges.

 

QV, 2023-05-19 2200Z