Outlook for Wed/Thu (May 13/14)
Both days look very promising with bases over 7,000 ft. QV Monday May 10 1200Z
Weekend 2023-06-18/19 by KellermanRichard
Soaring Forecast for Sunday/Monday 18/18 Jun
Synoptics
The low pressure system which gave us unsettled weather is moving away to the NE where it still has the potential to harass the R2N contest, leaving us under the influence of an extensive if weak area of high pressure and the associated weak anticyclonic flow.
Instability
Bothe Sunday and Monday should have mixed layers of about 6,000 ft, enough to make Cu likely on Sunday at about 6,500 ft msl, rather less likely on Monday when drier air and a ~500 ft decrease in mixed layer height could combine to make the day blue.
Clouds
Sunday: Cu at 6,500 ft msl. Monday probably blue with climbs to 5,000-6,000 ft msl
Winds
Sunday NW, <10 kt. Monday ~5 kt SE.
APOLOGIES
My forecast for last Sunday was pretty badly off – I made the forecast Friday PM and never got around to amending it. Forecasts age rapidly.
QV 2023-06-17 2100 V
Sunday Wx Update
Sunday Forecast Update Cloud and rain encroaching from the SW will eventually shut everything down. Best guess for timing is for conditions to deteriorate from about 2 PM on – prior to that we may have a short soaring window. QV May 8 2240Z
Weekend Wx
Not looking like much of a weekend. Perversely Sunday (Mothers’ Day) is the more promising of the two days. Saturday we might even be below basic VFR mins for much of the day, plus there is a decent chance of rain. Sunday could produce climbs to 5,000 ft or so, with cu. Wind … Read more
PGC weather forecast coming soon
Richard K. has offered to provide a regular PGC spot forecast. It will be posted on our website.