Soaring Forecast for Sunday/Monday

Synoptics


The low pressure system which gave us unsettled weather is moving away to the NE where it still has the potential to  harass the R2N contest, leaving us under the influence of an extensive if weak area of high pressure and the associated weak anticyclonic flow.


Instability


Bothe Sunday and Monday should have mixed layers of about 6,000 ft, enough to make Cu likely on Sunday at about 6,500 ft msl, rather less likely on Monday when drier air and a ~500 ft decrease in mixed layer height could combine to make the day blue.


Clouds


Sunday:  Cu at 6,500 ft msl.  Monday probably blue with climbs to 5,000-6,000 ft msl


Winds


Sunday NW, <10 kt.  Monday ~5 kt SE.


APOLOGIES


My forecast for last Sunday was pretty badly off – I made the forecast Friday PM and never got around to amending it.  Forecasts age rapidly.


QV 2023-06-17 2100 V